Alzheimer's Disease Agitation, is an unmet medical need. Three companies have addressed potential therapy for these patients. Otsuka and partner Lundbeck with Brexpiprazole, has already achieved FDA approval as the first and only approved drug, but carries a Black Boxed Warning. Another candidate from Otsuka again, is AVP-786. AVP-786 has yet to achieve two meaningful positive clinical trial readouts, and has two clinical trials scheduled to complete in 2026. Axsome's AXS-05 has completed one successful clinical trial known as ADVANCE-1. AVANCE-2 is scheduled to read out in the first half of 2024. If successful, the company will pursue an sNDA filing with the FDA for approval. Click on chart below for a larger version. Thank you for reading.
Sunday, February 18, 2024
Thursday, December 31, 2020
Agitation in Alzheimer's Disease - An Unmet Need Pt 2
We previously wrote about this unmet medical need back in 2016 here Agitation in Alzheimer's Disease - An Unmet Need. Since then, the field has narrowed with some of those companies no longer pursuing this indication for different reasons, but most likely their drug was not successful for this indication in clinical trials. With a safe and effective therapy for these patients experiencing agitation, the likelihood for them remaining in their homes becomes more favorable, as it would be easier on their caregivers, thus reducing the necessity for nursing home care. The companies still pursuing this important indication are as follows.
Axsome Therapeutics - AXS-05 completed first pivotal phase 2/3
John Hopkins - Escitalopram first phase 3 ongoing
Otsuka - AVP-786 has not successfully completed a pivotal phase 3
Otsuka / Lundbeck - Brexpiprazole completed two phase 3's, with one showing efficacy
The path to FDA approval is especially important, due to becoming a first mover in that space and establishing your product within the medical community. The projected clinical readouts of the current clinical trials are listed in order, as follows. Brexpiprazole 4/2022, AVP-786 6/2022, , Escitalopram 8/2022, AXS-05 9/2022.
AVP-786 has completed one phase 3 clinical trial using the (SPCD) Sequential Parallel Comparison Design. The SPCD is designed to reduce the placebo effect. Avanir disclosed that one of the two doses showed significant efficacy, but the company did not go into detail whether the higher or lower dose achieved the significant efficacy. In the second clinical trial using a Parallel Group Placebo Controlled design, patients did not experience a significant improvement in agitation compared to patients treated with placebo, per Avanir press release. Thus, putting the entire Agitation in Alzheimer's Disease program in question.
Just a bit of history. The non-deuterated version of AVP-786 is known as AVP-923, which is a combination of dextromethorphan and quinidine. In a phase 2 clinical trial run by Avanir for patients with Alzheimer's disease experiencing agitation in 2014, AVP-923 was highly successful utilizing the (SPCD) clinical trial design. That clinical trial success, led to a $3.5 billion buyout of Avanir from giant Otsuka.
Understanding how AVP-786 ended up in Otsuka's hands, you have to go back several years when Concert Pharmaceuticals obtained a patent for the deuterated version of AVP-923, and licensed that version known as AVP-786 to Avanir, who later was acquired by Otsuka. The successful AVP-923 combo of 20mg dextromethorphan, and 10mg quinidine had a potential safety drawback known as QTc prolongation which may have become worrisome to the FDA for this elderly patient population. One of the goals of the deuterated version was to lower the quinidine inhibitor dose down from 10 mg to 4.9 mg as shown in a comparison of exclusion's between AVP-923, and AVP-786 clinical trial design here AVP-923 and AVP-786.
There is one other issue to consider regarding AVP-786. When Concert Pharmaceutical's provided deuteration to AVP-923 and achieved patent, did the composition of AVP-786 get modified from the original in any way? We could only find one research article that may answer that question, here Deuterated (d6) - dextromethorphan elicits antidepressant effects in mice. This research suggests that AMPA, and Sigma 1, receptor targets of deuterated DM may differ from DM in their small animal study as quoted The data suggests d6-DM has anti-depressant like effects, though it may be recruiting different molecular targets and/or acting through a different mix or ratio of metabolites from regular DM. Perhaps that could be the performance difference between AVP-923 performing so well in the phase 2 clinical trial, and later AVP-786 not highly successful so far in clinical trials with a similar patient population. With limited research, we take that as speculation.
What's important to keep in mind, is that Axsome's AXS-05 is the only drug which the FDA has granted, Breakthrough Therapy Designation (BTD) for this indication. We'll continue to monitor these clinical trials to see if the companies projected completion dates remain the same or change. Axsome Therapeutics AXS-05 is well positioned to become the first safe and effective therapy for this patient population as we await the phase 3 results with their second pivotal clinical trial. Next we will write about Brexpiprazole's path forward. Thank you for reading.
Sunday, March 31, 2019
AVP-786 for Alzheimer's Agitation
The reported significant results become a positive for Concert Pharmaceuticals who could benefit from a royalty agreement, should the drug achieve FDA approval. The patent for AVP-786 runs to 2030 in the U.S. Thank you for reading.
Sunday, February 17, 2019
CTP-543 Patent Hearing Transcripts
Monday, June 12, 2017
Concert Pharmaceuticals Raises $30 Million in Venture Debt Financing
Wednesday, March 29, 2017
AVP-786 for Neurobehaviorial Disinhibition
Friday, June 24, 2016
Agitation in Alzheimer's Disease - An Unmet Need
AVP-786
Avanir (owned by Otsuka) is running two phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of agitation in patients with dementia of the Alzheimer's type NCT02442765, NCT02442778.
In a phase 2 clinical trial with the primary endpoint being the NPI Agitation / Aggression Domain, a stastistically significant (p=.001) was achieved with the non-deuterated version of called AVP-923. The results and publication of that trial is here Avanir JAMA Publication. The drug was generally well tolerated. The current clinical trials will complete July 2018. In four years from the beginning of 2016, AVP-786 could be the first FDA approved drug for this indication, and reach commercialization in 2020. The patent extends until 2030 in the U.S., and 2028 in the EU.
AXS-05
Owned by Axsome Therapeutics, is a combination of Dextromethorphan / Buproprion.
The company expects to enter a clinical phase 2/3 trial in 2016.
7-21-17: Axsome has now entered into a Phase 2/3 Dementia via Agitation with potential readout first half of 2020.
Brexpiprazole
Owned by Otsuka, with a revenue sharing agreement with Lundbeck. There are two phase 3 clinical trials for patients with agitation associated with dementia of the Alzheimer's type currently running NCT01862640, NCT01922258, with a completion date of around June 2017. This drug could prove effective for this indication, but the drug, like it's predecessor Abilify, has a black box label. Also, Otsuka chose to buy drug AVP-786 (via Avanir acquisition) for this indication, while two clinical trials with Brexpiprazole were over a year into progress.
1-9-2017: Both clinical trials are now active, but not recruiting participants. There will be 12 weeks plus a 30 day follow-up period. Participants that have completed the 12 weeks double blind trial, are eligible to enroll in a 2 month observational study.
6-7-2018: Otsuka is taking another try with Brexpiprazole with this US only clinical trial to complete in December of 2020 NCT03548584.
Lexapro (Escitalopram)
4-17-2017: This phase 3 clinical trial with 15mg Lexapro (escitalopram) is being sponsored by John Hopkins School of Public Health (JHSPH) for patients with agitation associated with Alzheimer's disease. The clinical trial is here NCT03108846, and has a completion date of August 2022. This is the first of potentially two phase 3 clinical trials that may be required by the FDA prior to filing an NDA if the drug is effective.
ITI-007
Intra-Cellular Therapies is planning on a phase two clinical trial in the first half of 2016 with ITI-007. The company does not have any significant findings with the drug for this indication in prior clinical trials. ITCI ran a phase 1/2 clinical trial primarily for cognition, as there were no patients that exhibited agitation at baseline. The press release is here Intra-Cellular.
6-28-16: Intra-Cellular has now entered into a phase 3 clinical trial for Alzheimer's patients experiencing agitation here NCT02817906 with readout August 2018. Results: Terminated study.
Pimavanserin
12-12-2016: Acadia has now entered into a phase 2 clinical trial for Alzheimer's patients experiencing agitation with their 5HT2A Pima here NCT02992132, with readout June 2019.
12-20-2016: ACAD releases top-line phase 2 ADP data. But does not break out the sub-category of the primary endpoint NPI-NH, such as agitation and aggression. The company announced in their conference call, that agitation and aggression was no different than placebo group.
Bottom Line Update 12-21-2019: AXS-05 and Escitalopram, are the two drugs that hold the most promise for their respective clinical trial for Alzheimer's Agitation. AXS-05 should have phase 2/3 readout in the first half of 2020, and Escitalopram in 2022. Thank you for reading.
Wednesday, April 13, 2016
NMDA Receptor Modulators for CNS Disorders
Avanir: Otsuka
Ph 3 Agitation in Alzheimer's Disease
Ph 2 Residual Schizophrenia
Ph 2 Major depressive disorder (adjunct)
Axsome: AXSM
Cerecor: CERC
CERC-301 NR2B Specific NMDA antagonist oral
Ph 2 Major depressive disorder (adjunct)
JNJ / Janssen
Esketamine intranasal
Phase 3 adjunct with anti-depressant for TRD
Naurex: Allergan
NMDA receptor partial agonist with selective properties
Ph 2 NRX-1074 IV
Ph 1 NRX-1074 Oral
Ph 3 GLYX-13 (Rapastinel) Weekly IV Major Depressive disorder
Vistagen: VSTA
AV-101 NMDA selective antagonist oral
Ph 2 AV-101 Major depressive disorder
Over the next couple years, we should see some meaningful clinical readouts from some of these companies. Potentially NMDA drugs may provide for a more efficacious and safer, sustainable therapy, aside from current antidepressants for some of the above indications. Thank you for reading.
Saturday, March 19, 2016
Otsuka's Commitment to AVP-786
Clinical Trials Started Since Acquisition
(3) Alzheimer's Agitation - U.S. phase 3
(1) Residual Schizophrenia phase 2
(1) Disinhibition phase 2
(1) Alzheimer's Agitation - Japan phase 3
Ongoing Trials With AVP-786
(1) Treatment Resistant Major Depression Disorder phase 2
New Otsuka Clinical Trials with Brexpiprazole
(0)
The company was previously in clinical trials prior to the acquisition of AVP-786, for Alzheimer's Agitation, MDD, and Schizophrenia as co- partner with Lundbeck. But has not initiated anything new since agreeing to acquire AVP-786 from Avanir late 2014.
Bottom Line: Some significance into the timing of initiating clinical trials, may help us identify a companies priority in their clinical pipeline. Thank you for reading.
Sunday, December 27, 2015
TRIAD 1 & 2 Recruiting
- Patient has successfully completed Studies 15-AVP-786-301, 15-AVP-786-302, or 12-AVR-131.
- Patients will be enrolled in the study for approximately 52 weeks.
- Approximately 550 patients will be enrolled at approximately 110 centers in the US.
- All patients enrolled will receive AVP-786, the treatment dose assigned will be masked to the patient, investigator, study staff, and the sponsor.
Saturday, December 5, 2015
Assessing the Success of AVP-786 for Patients with Treatment Resistant Major Depressive Disorder
Avanir ran a phase 3 clinical trial with AVP-923 evaluating the safety and efficacy of AVP-923 in PBA (Pseudobulbar Affect) patients with ALS or MS, trial named (STAR) here NCT00573443. The mean change from baseline at day 84 in the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-II) Total Score was used as a secondary endpoint. Patients with moderate depression on the BDI-II scale, greater than 18, scored a significant p=0.03 while taking AVP-923, 30mg dextromethorphan / 10mg quinidine. Below is the Avanir, JP Morgan Healthcare Conference presentation in January 2014.
2014 JP Morgan Healthcare Conference
Treatment-Resistant MDD Clinical Rationale
The Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) was included as a secondary efficacy endpoint in the pivotal phase 3 trial in PBA patients
Major Depression Excluded
Among patients with baseline BDI-II scores >10, AVP-923 treatment was associated with a reduction in depression symptoms
STAR Trial; Avanir data on file
Endpoint BDI-II
(n=50) -3.36 AVP-923 30/10
(n=55) -2.3 AVP-923 20/10
(n=52) -1.1 Placebo
P Value
0.065 AVP-923 30/10
0.378 AVP-923 20/10
"Among a subset of patients with baseline BDI-II scores > 18, AVP-923 30/10 was
associated with statistically significant improvement (p=0.03)".
Using the description below for the (p=0.03) subset, the trial had patients classified primarily in the moderate depression range, as the presentation listed major depression as excluded. The following is a breakdown of the BDI-II, which is a 21-item self-report instrument intended to assess the existence and severity of symptoms of depression, summed to give a single score. The BDI-II uses a 4-point for each item ranging from 0 to 3.
BDI-II Depression Scale
0-13 is considered minimal range
14 to 19 mild depression
20 to 28 moderate depression
29 to 63 severe depression
Bottom Line:
Although the number of patients were relatively small in the two above trials showing benefits of AVP-923 for depression, it does give us some guidelines to the probabilities for potential success in the current clinical trial coming to completion. Thank you for reading.
Monday, November 16, 2015
Avanir Initiates (TRIAD) for Alzheimer's Agitation
TRIAD-1 NCT02442765
Dosing will be (DM/Q) 18/4.9 mg, or 28/4.9 mg over 12 weeks, and enroll 380 patients.
TRIAD-2 NCT02442778
Dosing will be (DM/Q) 28/4.9 mg, over 12 weeks, and enroll 325 patients.
Avanir also announced that the company has received "Fast Track" for this indication, and that AVP-786 used for their phase 2 clinical trial as adjunct for major depression disorder, will complete enrollment by the end of 2015.
Bottom Line:
The TRIAD program that has been announced today, is a big commitment to drug AVP-786, not only for agitation in Alzheimer's, but also adjunct for major depression disorder, residual schizophrenia, and disinhibition syndrome. Thank you for reading.
Friday, August 28, 2015
AVP-786 for Treatment of Disinhibition
- Documented diagnosis of a Neurodegenerative Disorder including frontotemporal dementia, Alzheimer's disease (AD), progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP), corticobasal degeneration (CBD), dementia with Lewy bodies (DBL), vascular cognitive disorders, or Huntington's disease, at least 3 months prior to Baseline.
Bottom Line: It's easy to see why Otsuka bought Avanir Pharmaceuticals for $3.5 billion in 2014. They see the potential for NMDA drug AVP-786, and it's use for many indications. Thank you for reading.
Sunday, July 26, 2015
Allergan Buys NMDA drug for $560 Million
Bottom Line: At this point we have no idea how NRX-1074 oral will perform, compared to their completed intravenous phase 2 clinical trial for patients with Major Depressive Disorder (MDD). Avanir with drug AVP-786, is most likely two years ahead of NRX-1074 in the clinical trial process. Thank you for reading.
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Rexulti & AVP-923 Safety Profile Comparison
Rexulti (Brexpiprazole)
In clinical trials here phase 3 Schizophrenia, the 2 mg group of Rexulti exhibited the following side effect profile.
Insomnia 13.4%
Headache 9.3%
Agitation 8.6%
In clinical trials here phase 3 Adjunctive Major Depression, the 2 mg group of Rexulti exhibited the following side effect profile.
Weight Increase 8.0%
Akathisia 7.4%
AVP-923 (AVP-786)
In a phase 2 clinical trial for patients with agitation of the Alzheimer's type, the following side effect profile was exhibited.
Falls 8.6%
Diarrhea 5.9%
Urinary Tract Infection 5.3%
Falls had a baseline skew, that had more patients in the treatment group (17.2% to 12.6%) and 25% more patient-day exposure to AVP-923 than placebo, noted here JAMA DM/Q Phase 2 Alz. Agitation. In addition from that phase 2 clinical trial, there were no new cardiovascular safety signals and no clinically significant changes in QTc observed in the study. These results above are consistent with several other clinical trials that Avanir has run with AVP-923, for traumatic brain injury, or stroke here Prism II, with diarrhea being the most commonly reported adverse event.
Bottom Line: Otsuka has advanced the deutered version of AVP-923, (known as AVP-786) into three phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of agitation in patients with dementia of the Alzheimer's type, to begin soon. The company also has two ongoing clinical trials in progress with Rexulti for the same patients, that started in 2013. The patent for Rexulti runs until 2027 US and until 2025 EU, the patent for AVP-786 runs until 2030 in the US, and 2028 in the EU. Thank you for reading.
Saturday, July 11, 2015
FDA Approves Rexulti (Brexpiprazole)
INDICATIONS and IMPORTANT SAFETY INFORMATION for REXULTI ®(brexpiprazole)
INDICATIONS
REXULTI is indicated for:
- Use as an adjunctive therapy to antidepressants in adults with major depressive disorder
- Treatment of schizophrenia in adults
Rexulti (Brexpiprazole) deemed the second generation Abilify, is getting a similar safety label as Abilify, even though the side effect profile between the two drugs varies, with Rexulti showing improvement in some areas such as akathisia. It will be interesting to see what kind of label AVP-786 gets for the Treatment of Agitation in Patients with Dementia of the Alzheimer's Type. AVP-786 is about to enter phase 3 clinical trials in September. Thank you for reading.
Saturday, June 27, 2015
NMDA Receptor Modulators for Depression
There have been several studies modulating the NMDA receptor, that have shown efficacy in patients with treatment-resistant depression. A trial performed by Avanir Pharmaceuticals for pseudobulbar affect with drug AVP-923 (Nuedexta), showed efficacy in a subset of patients for depression using the Beck Depression Inventory II or BDI-II. Data showed that the dextromethorphan (an NMDA receptor antagonist, sigma 1 agonist) / quinidine combination was effective in patients with BDI-II scores greater than 18 at inclusion with AVP-923 30/10, and was associated with a statistically significant improvement of (p=0.03). What's also significant is that major depression was an exclusion into the trial. Avanir is now in a phase 2 clinical trial with AVP-786, for major depressive disorder patients as adjunct to current antidepressant here NCT02153502. I think the chances of success are high, based on how the dextromethorphan/quinidine combination performed in the subset of patients in prior trials.
Private company Naurex, is also working on NMDA drugs for depression patients. The company has displayed good data in early clinical trials using IV, and soon to be launched an oral NMDA drug for depression. Thank you for reading.
AVP-786 is Concert Pharmaceutical's deutered enhanced version of AVP-923.
Monday, May 25, 2015
AVP-923 and AVP-786
AVP-923 NCT01584440
Phase 2 for the treatment of agitation in patients with dementia of the Alzheimer's type.
Dextromethorphan 20 mg / Quinidine 10 mg
Dextromethorphan 30 mg / Quinidine 10 mg
Exclusion Criteria:
- Patient has other type of dementia (e.g., vascular dementia, frontotemporal dementia, Parkinson's disease, substance-induced dementia).
- Patients with co-existent clinically significant or unstable systemic diseases that could confound the interpretation of the safety results of the study (e.g. malignancy, poorly controlled diabetes, poorly controlled hypertension, unstable pulmonary, renal or hepatic disease, unstable ischemic cardiac disease, dilated cardiomyopathy, certain cardiac conduction abnormalities including QTc prolongation, or unstable valvular heart disease).
- Patients with myasthenia gravis.
Phase 3 for the treatment of agitation in patients with dementia of the Alzheimer's type.
Dextromethorphan 28 mg / Quinidine 4.9 mg
Dextromethorphan 18 mg / Quinidine 4.9 mg
Exclusion Criteria:
- Patient has dementia predominantly of non-Alzheimer's type (e.g., vascular dementia, frontotemporal dementia, Parkinson's disease, substance-induced dementia)
- Patients with co-existent clinically significant or unstable systemic diseases that could confound the interpretation of the safety results of the study (e.g., malignancy, poorly controlled diabetes, poorly controlled hypertension, unstable pulmonary, renal or hepatic disease, unstable ischemic cardiac disease, dilated cardiomyopathy, or unstable valvular heart disease)
- Patient with myasthenia gravis
Tuesday, March 3, 2015
Concert Pharmaceuticals - ($14.73)
The company is taking existing drugs, and potentially improving them with selective deuterium. They plan on developing drugs in-house and through partnership with other companies. Some quick facts below.
Quick Facts:
22 million shares outstanding
330 million market cap
75 million in cash
Intellectual Property:
AVP-786 (Otsuka) (2030 US), (2028 EU)
AVP-923 (Otsuka) (2026 US), (2023 EU)
Rexulti (Otsuka) (2027 US), (2025 EU)
CTP-499 (2029 - 2030) U.S. EU, Japan
CTP-730 (2029 - 2034) U.S. EU, Japan
JZP-386 (2030 - 2032) U.S. EU, Japan
CTP-656 (2032) U.S.
Kalydeco (Vertex) (2027 US), (2025 EU)
As you can see above, the company has done a fine job of protecting their intellectual property with extended patent dates, which gives them enough time to get through clinical trials to commercialization, either in house or through partnership. A $280 million market cap puts CNCE in microcap territory (less than $300 million). Hard to find a microcap stock with this much future potential, with an established and cohesive management team in place. We'll have more to say about Concert Pharmaceuticals. Thank you for reading.
Saturday, October 4, 2014
Avanir Pharmaceuticals
Quick Facts:
206 million shares outstanding
2.3 billion market cap
$317 million in cash
Intellectual Property:
AVP-923 US 2026
AVP-923 EU 2023
AVP-786 US 2030
AVP-786 EU 2028
AVP-923 (Nuedexta)
Approved in the U.S. for (PBA), Pseudobulbar Affect, and approved in the EU also for PBA. Commercialization in the U.S. in 2011, and EU currently underway.
Phase 2 trial for Agitation / Aggression in Alzheimer's patients:
JAMA Phase 2 Agitation Alzheimer's
Primary endpoint .001 on the agitation/aggression domain score of the NPI
Stage 1 (baseline to week 5) .001
Stage 2 (week 5 to week 10 change) .02
Cornell Scale for Depression in Dementia, 10 week = .03
AVP-786 Adjunct Therapy Major Depressive Disorder
NCT02153502
Phase 2 - Results 2016
Bottom Line: Avanir Pharmaceuticals has many moving parts in various stages of progress. The most important date for this company is the PDUFA date of November 26, 2014, which will be the FDA's decision on whether to approve AVP-825 for acute treatment of migraine. This is an inhaled treatment that has proven much more effective than oral capsule. The recent top line results look very promising for AVP-923 in Alzheimer's patients who are experiencing agitation / aggression. AVP-786 holds promise for CNS indications and it has patent out to 2030 U.S. Thank you for reading.