Tuesday, October 29, 2013

GILD: Reports 3rd Quarter Earnings

GILD - Gilead Sciences is a top selection for 2014. Today after the close, the company comfortably beat top and bottom line analyst 3rd quarter estimates and guided higher for the remainder of 2013.  Here are some highlights and future potential catalyst.
*  Today's earnings beat on the revenue side of 2.78 versus a 2.72 estimate and earnings per share was .52 cents versus an estimate of .48 cents. GILD also raised year end guidance numbers.
*  Stock buybacks will continue into next year.
*  On Friday October 25th, the FDA advisory panel voted unanimously in favor to approve Sofosbuvir to treat several forms of Hepatitis C.  The total HCV market is 10 billion dollars annually.
*  The final FDA approval could come at anytime from here through December.
*  Analyst are forecasting $1.85 billion in sales alone for Sofosbuvir in 2014, if it prices around $85,000 per patient.  I think that is rather conservative and I expect the company to beat the numbers throughout 2014.
The weekly chart below is near all time highs and appears to be overbought in the short term.  I expected to see some profit taking post report, but we will have to see how that plays our tomorrow.
Bottom Line:  GILD looks ready to have a strong 2014 with the launch of HCV drug Sofosbuvir. The key to the approval expected in December is how the FDA allows for the labeling on approval. Thank you for reading. 

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